Page 4 - Occupational Health & Safety, November 2018

FROM THE EDITOR
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VOLUME 87 NUMBER 11
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FOut of Harm’s Way, for Now
or most of this year, my wife, Linda, and I were expect- ing to be in Charlotte and Raleigh, N.C., in mid-Sep- tember 2018. A nephew’s wedding was the chief reason to make this trip; as it turned out, the Sept. 15 wedding
date in Raleigh coincided with Hurricane Florence’s arrival in North Carolina. The engaged couple wisely decided to postpone their wedding. One leg of our trip had been cancelled by then, and we expected other reservations also would be.
In just a few days, Florence poured more than 30 inches of rain on some locations in eastern North Carolina, caused more than 1,000 swift-water rescues, and sent more than 15,000 peo- ple into emergency shelters in North Carolina alone. By Sept. 17, the storm was responsible for 24 deaths.
The day before, I noticed a study1 titled “The human influ-
ence on Hurricane Florence,” by Kevin A. Reed and Alyssa M.
Stansfield of Stony Brook University, Michael F. Wehner of Law-
rence Berkeley National Laboratory, and Colin M. Zarzycki of
the National Center for Atmospheric Research. They predicted
Florence’s forecasted rainfall amounts in the Carolinas would be 50 percent higher because of climate change, and that climate change also increased the forecasted size of Florence by about 80 kilometers.
The idea that global warming is increasing hurricanes’ intensity is not universally accept- ed, but it makes sense to me. Hurricane Harvey also produced eye-popping rainfall totals as it inflicted about $125 billion in damage and killed more than 100 people just a year before Flor- ence, remember. These two hurricanes suggest areas that are vulnerable to Atlantic hurricanes could be hit with much more costly and dangerous storms than in the past.
I’m safe for now, living in north Texas some 300 miles from the Gulf of Mexico. These storms have made me think differently about the places where I may want to vacation or retire, however.
JERRY LAWS
jlaws@1105media.com
REFERENCES
https://cpb-us-e1.wpmucdn.com/you.stonybrook.edu/dist/4/945/ files/2018/09/climate_change_Florence_0911201800Z_final-262u19i.pdf
Hurricanes Florence and Harvey suggest areas that are vul- nerable to Atlantic hurricanes could be hit with much more costly and dangerous storms than in the past.
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4 Occupational Health & Safety | NOVEMBER 2018